Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 199.746402 233.932897 274.082822 325.212455 389.306744 467.963235 5.733198e+02
2025-06-22 146.727710 185.777488 236.675760 309.529952 413.992282 563.126057 8.015584e+02
2025-06-29 121.672938 162.267297 219.067299 307.414143 447.456465 672.760741 1.091260e+03
2025-07-06 105.363413 146.167752 206.472162 306.690645 479.297592 787.276263 1.444061e+03
2025-07-13 97.930266 141.003323 208.080153 327.055881 550.030947 994.165498 2.101428e+03
2025-07-20 93.009614 138.531467 212.929349 353.297925 639.096966 1276.452135 3.163006e+03
2025-07-27 85.128985 129.988222 205.982100 356.256810 682.754535 1481.255089 4.226969e+03
2025-08-03 79.512962 124.325830 202.908312 365.631137 743.078130 1759.771169 5.893056e+03
2025-08-10 73.393992 116.960877 195.522292 364.492685 778.670598 1992.653902 7.764652e+03
2025-08-17 68.743256 111.595066 191.012864 368.406935 828.389371 2302.350059 1.066660e+04
2025-08-24 64.222396 105.930327 185.086646 367.881110 866.463975 2602.410689 1.436124e+04
2025-08-31 60.334082 101.009499 179.950939 368.128240 907.288751 2948.017967 1.969552e+04
2025-09-07 58.073681 99.297053 181.895372 388.068523 1023.644663 3762.131161 3.503810e+04
2025-09-14 52.606151 90.858881 168.689945 367.377167 1002.645115 3930.137752 4.437091e+04
2025-09-21 49.182809 86.103043 162.795164 364.671903 1043.711587 4489.933934 6.878876e+04
2025-09-28 46.276977 82.077435 157.949986 363.766067 1092.091059 5178.991326 1.139264e+05
2025-10-05 45.370538 82.025515 162.052305 389.188443 1258.491830 7002.985537 3.159465e+05
2025-10-12 44.861045 82.732065 168.027106 422.101072 1482.349478 9986.109254 1.470627e+06
2025-10-19 42.769889 79.823027 164.863156 425.822618 1576.086338 12090.671343 5.810299e+06
2025-10-26 41.254281 78.018940 164.186257 437.626972 1721.612718 15494.979838 9.492735e+07
2025-11-02 39.253038 74.947281 159.892068 436.192300 1796.855669 18375.601925 3.155628e+11
2025-11-09 37.691563 72.729260 157.534809 441.126296 1915.881682 22876.215467 NaN
2025-11-16 36.025945 70.129470 153.852463 440.463274 2002.734825 27565.563009 NaN